RTS One Year-ish Return = 30.7% (9/5/2008 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 59.1% (11/7/2007 to Present)
RTS is selling CI and buying CNX in its place on Thursday 10/1/2009 at the open. Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (past RTS portfolios):
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
RTS Selling CI and Buying CNX on Thursday 10/1 at Open
SGS is Long.
RTS One Year-ish Return = 30.7% (9/5/2008 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 59.1% (11/7/2007 to Present)
RTS is selling CI and buying CNX in its place on Thursday 10/1/2009 at the open. Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (past RTS portfolios):
RTS One Year-ish Return = 30.7% (9/5/2008 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 59.1% (11/7/2007 to Present)
RTS is selling CI and buying CNX in its place on Thursday 10/1/2009 at the open. Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (past RTS portfolios):
Friday, September 25, 2009
RTS Selling RIMM and Buying AXP on Monday 9/28 at Open
SGS is Long.
RTS One Year-ish Return = 28.4% (9/5/2008 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 57.7% (11/7/2007 to Present)
RTS is selling RIMM and buying AXP in its place on Monday 9/28/2009 at the open. Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (past RTS portfolios):
RTS One Year-ish Return = 28.4% (9/5/2008 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 57.7% (11/7/2007 to Present)
RTS is selling RIMM and buying AXP in its place on Monday 9/28/2009 at the open. Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (past RTS portfolios):
Sunday, September 20, 2009
Reverse H&S Objective for SPX Was Met on 9/17/2009
SGS is Long.
RTS One Year Return = 36.3% (9/5/2008 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 65.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Pofrtfolio ............................ Past RTS Portfolios
By all measures including market breath, advance/decline line, new highs and new lows, we're seeing a very strong bull run that very likely will continue well into next year. Government stimulus combined with Fed's relaxed monetary policy are working. Market has picked up momentum and is steaming forward with financial and technology sectors leading the way.
S&P500 Index (SPX) reached mid 1070's last Thursday and satisfied the objective of a Reverse Head and Shoulders (H&S) chart formation which was confirmed for the first time on 5/1/2009, and re-confirmed as SPX strongly bounced off of its neck line on 7/13/2009. Please see chart below:
After achieving the Reverse H&S objective ("Target" line on chart above), the chances of Market going into a short period of rest and possibly a minor sell off is substantially more than continuing to move higher, especially as we're entering a seasonably weak period of the year.
Per my plan, I cashed out at SPX >= 1074 last Thursday. I'm currently formulating a plan to open long positions. I'm going to wait for a few days and see if there's a pull back and how steep it might get. More on that later.
RTS One Year Return = 36.3% (9/5/2008 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 65.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Pofrtfolio ............................ Past RTS Portfolios
By all measures including market breath, advance/decline line, new highs and new lows, we're seeing a very strong bull run that very likely will continue well into next year. Government stimulus combined with Fed's relaxed monetary policy are working. Market has picked up momentum and is steaming forward with financial and technology sectors leading the way.
S&P500 Index (SPX) reached mid 1070's last Thursday and satisfied the objective of a Reverse Head and Shoulders (H&S) chart formation which was confirmed for the first time on 5/1/2009, and re-confirmed as SPX strongly bounced off of its neck line on 7/13/2009. Please see chart below:
After achieving the Reverse H&S objective ("Target" line on chart above), the chances of Market going into a short period of rest and possibly a minor sell off is substantially more than continuing to move higher, especially as we're entering a seasonably weak period of the year.
Per my plan, I cashed out at SPX >= 1074 last Thursday. I'm currently formulating a plan to open long positions. I'm going to wait for a few days and see if there's a pull back and how steep it might get. More on that later.
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of 9/18/2009
SGS is Long.
RTS One Year Return = 36.3% (9/5/2008 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 65.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
RTS One Year Return = 36.3% (9/5/2008 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 65.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):
Thursday, September 17, 2009
Going into Cash
SGS is Long.
RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio is up around 16% as of close of 9/16/09.
I'm going to close (sell) all my long positions that I opened (bought) at SPX 1001 (SPY, QQQQ and IMW) at SPX >= 1074.
I'll post this weekend why I'm doing this.
RTS 20090326 Long Portfolio is up around 16% as of close of 9/16/09.
I'm going to close (sell) all my long positions that I opened (bought) at SPX 1001 (SPY, QQQQ and IMW) at SPX >= 1074.
I'll post this weekend why I'm doing this.
Saturday, September 12, 2009
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of 9/11/2009
SGS is Long.
RTS One Year Return = 31.5% (9/5/2008 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 60.8% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Previous RTS Portfolios):
RTS One Year Return = 31.5% (9/5/2008 to Present)
RTS Total Return = 60.8% (11/07/2007 to Present)
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Previous RTS Portfolios):
Saturday, September 5, 2009
The Mother of All Bull Markets?
SGS is Long.
S&P500 (SPX) has risen about 53% since March lows. Except for the financial sectors, there are no other sectors matching the performance of that index. I think this occurrence, namely SPX out performing all but one or two sectors in the course of last six months, is unprecedented in the last 30 years. I find this puzzling and can't find an explanation for it, except that SPX (and other major indices) are artificially pushed up in hope of making the market participants (namely baby boomers) more confident about their financial outlook. Without that confidence, the US economy is doomed and could spiral back down into a very deep and long recession or possibly a depression.
The fear of a depression substantially out weighs any near or immediate term inflation concerns, hence justifying flooding the economy with more and more money. I think this policy which was put in place in late 2008, will be continued for the foreseeable future. There is no other option, at least no relatively painless one.
"Trend is your friend", and this bull trend very likely will continue for a while and perhaps could become the biggest bull run of all time. Looking at the monthly chart of SPX below, the index closed August near its recovery high as was expected due to the symmetrical nature of this recovery. The likelihood of this symmetrical up trend continuing is high and SPX reaching 1200 to 1300 by end of this year is a good probability. That is about 18% to 28% gain from here to end of the year.
Since March lows it has been difficult if not impossible, to outperform SPX and I think this trend will very likely continue. That's why I chose to put RTS 10 stock strategy on hold for now and go with the indices. Per plan outlined earlier, I put 50% of my capital on the table and bought SPY (60%), QQQQ (20%) and IWM (20%) last Tuesday (9/1/2009) as SPX dropped to 1001 intraday.
S&P500 (SPX) has risen about 53% since March lows. Except for the financial sectors, there are no other sectors matching the performance of that index. I think this occurrence, namely SPX out performing all but one or two sectors in the course of last six months, is unprecedented in the last 30 years. I find this puzzling and can't find an explanation for it, except that SPX (and other major indices) are artificially pushed up in hope of making the market participants (namely baby boomers) more confident about their financial outlook. Without that confidence, the US economy is doomed and could spiral back down into a very deep and long recession or possibly a depression.
The fear of a depression substantially out weighs any near or immediate term inflation concerns, hence justifying flooding the economy with more and more money. I think this policy which was put in place in late 2008, will be continued for the foreseeable future. There is no other option, at least no relatively painless one.
"Trend is your friend", and this bull trend very likely will continue for a while and perhaps could become the biggest bull run of all time. Looking at the monthly chart of SPX below, the index closed August near its recovery high as was expected due to the symmetrical nature of this recovery. The likelihood of this symmetrical up trend continuing is high and SPX reaching 1200 to 1300 by end of this year is a good probability. That is about 18% to 28% gain from here to end of the year.
Since March lows it has been difficult if not impossible, to outperform SPX and I think this trend will very likely continue. That's why I chose to put RTS 10 stock strategy on hold for now and go with the indices. Per plan outlined earlier, I put 50% of my capital on the table and bought SPY (60%), QQQQ (20%) and IWM (20%) last Tuesday (9/1/2009) as SPX dropped to 1001 intraday.
Friday, September 4, 2009
RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of 9/4/2009
SGS is long.
RTS Total Return From 11/07/2007 To Present = 55.7%
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Previous RTS Portfolios):
RTS Total Return From 11/07/2007 To Present = 55.7%
Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Previous RTS Portfolios):
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