Saturday, July 31, 2010

RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 7/30/2010

SGS is Short (SGS went short as of close of Friday 5/14/2010).

RTS Current Portfolio Return =7.2% (5/17/2010 to Present)
vs. SPX = (3.1)
RTS Total Return =64.5% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (27.3%)
RTS Ave. Annual Return = 23.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (10.0%)

Current RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is shown below:

 
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.

Wednesday, July 28, 2010

SGS is Still Short, but ...................

Just an update to answer questions / comments emailed to me via my blog. 

SGS is still short, but very close to going long.   A strong up day either tomorrow or Friday would turn SGS long.  At that point, RTS would cover its current short portfolio and open a new long portfolio with 10 long positions.  As usual, I would post as soon as that happens (if it does that is).

Personally, I don't think Market is going much higher.  At best, maybe SPX 1140 - 1160 sometime in August.   After that I expect an accelerated and nasty move to the down side.  I expect SPX to retest its March 2009 lows (700 to 650) sometime in 2010-Q4 or 2011-Q1.

opader@gmail.com

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
 

Friday, July 23, 2010

RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 7/23/2010

SGS is Short (SGS went short as of close of Friday 5/14/2010).

RTS Current Portfolio Return =2.8% (5/17/2010 to Present)
vs. SPX = (3.0)
RTS Total Return =60.1% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (27.2%)
RTS Ave. Annual Return = 22.2% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (10.1%)

Current RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is shown below:




 
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
 

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

RTS Covering MON and Selling Short MAS on Wed 7/21/10 at Open

SGS is Short (SGS went short as of close of Friday 5/14/2010).

RTS is covering MON and selling short MAS in its place tomorrow Wednesday 7/21/2010 at the open.

RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is up 6.1% as of today's close.  Full update on Friday.




Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.

Saturday, July 17, 2010

RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 7/16/2010

SGS is Short (SGS went short as of close of Friday 5/14/2010).

RTS Current Portfolio Return =8.5% (5/17/2010 to Present)
vs. SPX = (6.3%)
RTS Total Return =65.8% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (29.7%)
RTS Ave. Annual Return = 24.4% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (11.0%)

Current RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is shown below:


Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.
 

Friday, July 16, 2010

RTS Covering APC and Selling Short NVDA on Friday 7/16/10 at Open

SGS is Short (SGS went short as of close of Friday 5/14/2010).

RTS is covering APC and selling short NVDA in its place today Friday 7/16/2010 at the open.

RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is up 4.8% as of yesterday's close.  Full update later today.



Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.

Friday, July 9, 2010

RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 7/9/2010

SGS is Short (SGS went short as of close of Friday 5/14/2010).

RTS Current Portfolio Return =7.6% (5/17/2010 to Present)
vs. SPX = (5.2%)
RTS Total Return =64.9% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (28.9%)
RTS Ave. Annual Return = 24.3% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (10.8%)

Current RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is shown below:   
Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.

Tuesday, July 6, 2010

Where are we heading?

Down Down Down as shown in thick solid pink on the SPX montly chart below.

First of all SGS is short (been short as of close of 5/14/2010), so you've got to respect that.  Secondly, SPX solidly closed below its 23 EMA on the SPX monthly chart; and on the SPX daily chart, 50 D-SMA is now below 200 D-SMA (Death Cross). Thirdly, notice the symmetric nature of SPX moves from its major bottoms and tops in the last 12 years.  That symmetry will repeat itself as SPX goes down to retest March 2009 lows around 700 to 650 sometime in late 2010 to early 2011.




Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.

Friday, July 2, 2010

RTS Portfolio Updated as of Close of Friday 7/2/2010

SGS is Short (SGS went short as of close of Friday 5/14/2010).

RTS Current Portfolio Return =15.9% (5/17/2010 to Present)
vs. SPX = (10.0%)
RTS Total Return =73.2% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (32.5%)
RTS Ave. Annual Return = 27.6% (11/07/2007 to Present)
vs. SPX = (12.3%)

Current RTS Portfolio is shown below (Past RTS Portfolios):

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.

Thursday, July 1, 2010

RTS Covering AVP and Selling Short PCX on Friday 7/2/10 at Open

SGS is Short. 

RTS is covering AVP and selling short PCX in its place tomorrow Friday 7/2/2010 at the open.



RTS 20100517 Short Portfolio is up 15.8% as of today's close.  Full update on Friday.




Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.