Indices Look Good

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG  as of the close of Friday Nov 24, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (12/22), the value of SGS was calculated to be +385.  The status of SGS remains Long. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above.  Indices look good and there is a good chance that rally continues this week.

My Plan

I'm 100% long now and plan to stay long for now.

Merry Christmas & Happy New Year

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

Short-term, Indices Are Overbought

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG  as of the close of Friday Nov 24, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (12/15), the value of SGS was calculated to be +315.  The status of SGS remains Long. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above.  Indices are overbought and there is a good chance that we see a correction early this week.

My Plan

I'm 100% long now and plan to stay long for now.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

Rally Continues

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG  as of the close of Friday Nov 24, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (12/8), the value of SGS was calculated to be +91.  The status of SGS remains Long. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above.  Indices look good and very likely continue their rally on the back of excellent job report and earnings reports.

My Plan

Last Monday per my plan I put my remaining cash into IWM, SPY, and QQQ.  I'm 100% long now.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

Indices Look Good

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG  as of the close of Friday Nov 24, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (12/1), the value of SGS was calculated to be +80.  The status of SGS remains Long. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above.  Indices look good and very likely continue their rally on the back of excellent GDP and earnings reports.

My Plan

Last Tuesday per my plan I put 30% of my cash into IWM, SPY, and QQQ.  With SGS remaining Long, my plan is to put more money to work this week,

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

SGS Market Timer Is Long

SGS Market Timer Status:  LONG 
LONG  as of the close of Friday Nov 24, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (11/24), the value of SGS was calculated to be +11.  The status of SGS changed from Neutral to Long. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above. 

My Plan

SGS is Long now and my plan is to put more money to work this week,

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

SGS Market Timer Is Neutral

SGS Market Timer Status:  NEUTRAL 
NEUTRAL  as of the close of Friday Nov 17, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (11/17), the value of SGS was calculated to be -115.  The status of SGS changed from Short to Neutral. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above. 

My Plan

Per my plan, last Thursday I put 30% of my cash into SPY, QQQ, and IWM.  My plan is to put more cash to work once SGS turns long. 

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

Government Shutdown Is A Buying Opportunity

SGS Market Timer Status:  SHORT 
SHORT  as of the close of Friday Sep 22, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (11/10), the value of SGS was calculated to be -286.  The status of SGS remains SHORT. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above.  Indices are still at extreme short-term overbought levels.  The uncertainty of a government shutdown very likely causes a sell-off this week.  That sell-off is a buying opportunity. 

My Plan

I am waiting for a sell-off to open new long positions.  There is a good chance that a sell-off occurs sometime this week.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice. 

Short-Term, Indices Are At Extreme Overbought Levels

SGS Market Timer Status:  SHORT 
SHORT  as of the close of Friday Sep 22, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (11/3), the value of SGS was calculated to be -358.  The status of SGS remains SHORT. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above.  Indices are at extreme short-term overbought levels.  There is a good chance that SPX tests support around 4270 this week before heading higher.  

My Plan

No change, I'm in cash (except for two small crypto positions) and planning to wait until SGS status changes from SHORT to NEUTRAL before considering open new long positions.  There is a good chance that we see that happening sometime this week. 

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

A Bottom Or The Bottom Has Been Reached

SGS Market Timer Status:  SHORT 
SHORT  as of the close of Friday Sep 22, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (10/27), the value of SGS was calculated to be -804.  The status of SGS remains SHORT. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above.  There is a good chance that selling since late July has run its course.  Last Friday SPX finally found support around 4100 late in the day.  There is a good chance that SPX 4100 holds as the bottom for the current sell-off assuming the military conflict in the Middle East does spiral out of control.  

My Plan

No change, I'm in cash (except for two small crypto positions) and planning to wait until SGS status changes from SHORT to NEUTRAL before considering open new long positions.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

Introducing SGS-ST

SGS Market Timer Status:  SHORT 
SHORT  as of the close of Friday Sep 22, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

SGS-ST is a Short-Term market timer that uses past hourly data of SPX and NDX to predict SPX and NDX price action for the next day:

 Green Day  ---> SPX and NDX very likely close higher than their open
 Red Day  ---> SPX and NDX very likely close lower than their open
 Neutral Day  ---> Inconclusive 

The system buys SPXL and TQQQ (equal dollar amount) at the open on green days and sells them at close.  On red days, the system buys SPXS and SQQQ (again in equal dollar amount) and sells them at close.  There is no trade on neutral days.

SGS-ST performance and its trades are shown on SGS-ST Performance Google Sheet.  This page is also updated once a prediction for the next day is available (around 5 PM PST).

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (10/20), the value of SGS was calculated to be -599.  The status of SGS remains SHORT. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above.  There is a good chance that selling since late July has run its course.  SPX 4200-4100 is still in play and should SPX trades there on a panic, it would be an excellent buying opportunity.  

My Plan

No change, I'm in cash (except for two small crypto positions) and planning to wait until SGS status changes from SHORT to NEUTRAL before considering open new long positions.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

Earnings Reports Will Make Or Break Indices

SGS Market Timer Status:  SHORT 
SHORT  as of the close of Friday Sep 22, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (10/13), the value of SGS was calculated to be -409.  The status of SGS remains SHORT. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above.  

My Plan

No change, I'm in cash (except for two small crypto positions) and planning to wait until SGS status changes from SHORT to NEUTRAL before considering open new long positions.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.  

Bull-leg Support Tested And Held

SGS Market Timer Status:  SHORT 
SHORT  as of the close of Friday Sep 22, 2023
Previous SGS Status

SGS is a Long-Term (weeks to months) Timer
SGS Performance Data 
Why Market Timing Is A Must

Last Friday, SPY tested and breached its TUL-2 but it closed well above that  important support line.  That is bullish, however, in light of what is happening in the Middle East, there is a good chance that SPY sells off to test support around 410 early this week.

SGS Market Timer

As of the close of last Friday (10/6), the value of SGS was calculated to be -608.  The status of SGS remains SHORT. 

S&P 500 Support And Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels for SPX for this week are shown above.  

My Plan

I'm in cash (except for two small crypto positions) and planning to wait until SGS status changes from SHORT to NEUTRAL before considering open new long positions.

Current Long-Term Portfolio

Past Long-Term Portfolios

twitter
opader@gmail.com

SPX: S&P 500 Index    SMA: Simple Moving Average
DJI: Dow Jones Industrial Index    EMA: Exponential Moving Average
DJT: Dow Jones Transportation Index    PDL: Primary Downtrend Line
NAZ: NASDAQ Composite Index    PUL: Primary Uptrend Line
RUT: Russell 2000 Index    ASL: Active Support Line
OEX: S&P 100 Index    ARL: Active Resistance Line
NDX: NASDAQ 100 Index    DTL: Dynamic Trend Line   
TUL: Tentative Uptrend Line   TDL: Tentative Downtrend Line

TLR: Trend Line Resistance   TLS: Trend Line Support

Disclaimer: The views expressed are provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed in any way as investment advice or recommendation.  Furthermore, the opinions expressed may change without notice.